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A Premium Membership gives you access to:

Machine Learning Model Predictions

I’ve built a machine learning model that predicts the outcome of NFL games. The model consists of both a Support Vector Machine and an Artificial Neural Network and is trained on data from 2009 up through last season. It predicts not only the winner of the game, but the spread and the over/under. It outproduced PFF Greenline last season, and has proven to beat Vegas lines year over year. I’ll be making the results of the model available each week for all premium members!


Draft Package

2019 Rankings

This season, all of the rankings, player notes and players to target/avoid can be found on the 2019 Rankings tab. This is going to make it a lot easier to view all of this information quick and easy. You’ll also be able to do so on your phone this season! This is going to have everything you need for your draft. You’ll not only have our rankings, but you’ll know exactly how we feel about each player, and you’ll know which players you should target and avoid at different portions of the draft. You should use the player projections and risk notes/ratings to prepare yourself for the draft, and as a little extra help deciding between players. But the rankings will have everything you need during the draft.


Projections: (Out Now!)

We’re going to have both season long and weekly projections this season! I’ve constructed a pipeline in Python to create accurate projections, that can be quickly adapted for any breaking news that might (will) occur as we enter draft season. We’ll have exact projections for over 475 players! These projections take into account not only a players historical efficiency, but also any potential regression, and is adjusted for the overall projected production of the offense, and the other players on his team.

In order to maximize their effectiveness, the season long projections should be used along side the rest of the premium rankings. Just because a player is projected for slightly more points, doesn’t mean you should always draft them. Certain players come with more or less risk and upside than others. It’s important to know exactly who you’re drafting when you’re on the clock!


Player Write-Ups:

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This section of the rankings will have a detailed write-up of each player we deem draftable. This season, that will include roughly the top 80 RB’s, top 80 WR’s, top 30 QB’s and the top 25 TE’s. We’ll include defense and kicker rankings, but there won’t be a write-up for them since they should be taken in the last and second to last rounds in 100% of your drafts. There are no exceptions.


Injury Notes and Risk Ratings:

This season we have Dr. Daniel Khaleel helping us out with each players injury write-up. Understanding a players injury history is important for determining how risky they are. The injury notes section will dive deeper into each players past injuries, and will talk about how much risk they carry going forward.

Each players risk rating is a combination of injury and volume risk. Injury risk is exactly what it sounds like, the risk that a player will lose time due to injury. Volume risk is the risk that a player sees decreased volume from what we’re expecting. Most of the time this comes from a change in either target distribution or snap counts, but it can also come from an offense running fewer plays or performing worse than expected. Last season Le’Veon Bell, Leonard Fournette, Dalvin Cook, Rex Burkhead, Dion Lewis, Marshawn Lynch, Carlos Hyde, Jay Ajayi and Rashaad Penny were given some of the highest risk ratings of draftable players. This should give you a good understanding of what constitutes a risky player. While a good portion of this list suffered injuries, some were also used far less than the community predicted.

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Weekly In-Season Articles

Members get access to our daily DFS Breakdown, Trade Targets, and Are We Concerned articles each week!

NBA Playoffs
Even cash in on some NBA DFS!

Even cash in on some NBA DFS!

Weekly DFS Breakdown - Weekly Article

Each week we’ll give a breakdown of the DFS slate. This will include both an overview of the slate, and our favorite individual plays. Slates are never played in a vacuum, and this article dives into which players are worth their price, given the context of the slate.

Trade Targets - Weekly Article

Our Trade Targets article will be going over a number of different players you should be trading for in your leagues. Like I said above, players under-perform for a number of different reasons. That doesn’t mean that they won’t do well going forward. There are also some players who are doing poorly that you should be staying away from. This article will give you our take on how to distinguish the difference and decide who is worth trading for and who should be left alone.

Are We Concerned? - Weekly Article

In this article we take a deeper look into some players that have been underperforming in recent weeks to determine if there is a reason to be concerned or not. Some players get off to a slow start, get unlucky with TD variance, or just have a stretch of really difficult matchups. In this article we try and touch on the players that have the most potential impact to your team and whether you should be holding onto them, or letting them go.


Facebook Private Chat

Access to the private chat is invaluable. Not only will you have access to the both of us at any time, but you will have access to every other member of this site. Remember, we aren't perfect, and you should really be getting your information from multiple sources. That's good advice for any sort of information, not just fantasy sports. I was part of a private chat when I was a member of the DFS sweatshop. It was an immensely positive experience and was the reason I was able to make so much money in basketball DFS. When I joined I thought I would be getting advice from the guru (the guy who created the site) and that he would help me make the right plays. But the real reason I was so successful was the community. There were over 1,000 of us in there and being able to chop up the slate every night gave me insight I never would have imagined.

 

So why do I bring this up? Well because I want you guys to understand the value of this chat. Yes you will be able to ask the both of us questions whenever you want, but it's so much more than that. Having a massive community where you can ask anything and discuss any player is huge. As the regular season comes closer there will be things happening every day and it is important to be able to determine what is relevant and what isn't. I promise this chat will be something that helps you a million times more than writing in the comment section of a video.

 

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